Economics is not one body of settled knowledge with a few dissenters. It is a set of rival
accounts of what an economy is, several of which are right about different things.
The one thing to remember: Scripture has enormous amounts to say about how you
treat a worker, a borrower and a poor neighbour, and nothing at all to say about the optimal
interest rate. Anyone who tells you the Bible endorses their macroeconomics is adding to it.
The six schools
Six schools, each with its central claim, its best result and its real weakness.
School
Period
Founding texts
Central claim
Explains well
Weakest at
Classical
1776-1870s
Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations (1776); David Ricardo, Principles of Political Economy and Taxation (1817); John Stuart Mill (1848)
Wealth comes from production, specialisation and exchange, not from hoarding metal. Self-interested trade under competition tends to allocate resources without anyone directing it.
Explains why trade between unequal partners still benefits both, and why price controls create shortages.
Weak on money, on unemployment lasting years, and on what happens when competition fails.
Neoclassical / marginalist
1871 onward
Jevons, Menger and Walras (independently, 1871-74); Alfred Marshall, Principles of Economics (1890)
Value is not in the thing but at the margin: what one more unit is worth to a buyer. Supply and demand meet at an equilibrium price.
The working toolkit of most professional economics: elasticity, marginal cost, opportunity cost.
Its rational, fully informed agent is a modelling convenience that real people fail to resemble.
Keynesian
1936 onward
John Maynard Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936); the New Keynesian revision from the 1980s
Total demand can fall short for long stretches because wages and prices do not adjust fast. Government spending and monetary easing can fill the gap.
Explains prolonged depressions and why cutting wages in a slump can make it worse.
Underestimated inflation expectations; the 1970s combination of stagnation and inflation was not supposed to be possible.
Monetarist
1950s-1980s
Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 (1963); Friedman’s 1968 address on the role of monetary policy
The quantity of money drives the price level. Friedman’s formulation: "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon."
Predicted that the 1960s inflation-unemployment trade-off would break down, and it did.
The stable money-demand relationship that the rules depended on came apart in the 1980s; almost no central bank targets a money aggregate now.
Austrian
1871 onward
Carl Menger, Principles of Economics (1871); Ludwig von Mises, Human Action (1949); F. A. Hayek, The Use of Knowledge in Society (1945), Nobel 1974
Value is subjective and knowledge is dispersed. Prices are how scattered private knowledge gets communicated, which is why central planning fails in principle, not merely in practice. Credit expansion misdirects investment and causes the cycle.
The knowledge argument is one of the most durable results in the discipline, and it aged extremely well.
Its scepticism of formal testing makes many of its claims hard to falsify, which is a real cost.
Behavioural
1979 onward
Kahneman and Tversky, "Prospect Theory", Econometrica (1979); Thaler; Nobel prizes to Kahneman (2002), Shiller (2013) and Thaler (2017)
People depart from the rational model in patterned, predictable ways: losses hurt more than equivalent gains, defaults dominate choices, the present is overweighted.
Changed retirement policy in the real world: automatic enrolment works because inertia is stronger than intention.
A long list of effects rather than a theory, and several headline findings have been revised or shrunk under replication.
Classical: the founding argument
Adam Smith published The Wealth of Nations in 1776 against a world that thought national
wealth meant a large pile of gold and a trade surplus. His counter-argument was that wealth is
the flow of goods and services a nation actually produces, that specialisation multiplies output,
and that a butcher serves you dinner because it serves him, not because he loves you. Ricardo
added comparative advantage in 1817: two countries gain from trading even when one is better at
making everything, because what matters is what each gives up to produce a thing. That result is
counter-intuitive, durable, and still the single most useful idea in trade policy.
Keynesian: the argument from the Depression
Classical economics had no good account of ten years of mass unemployment. Keynes, writing in
1936, proposed one: total spending in an economy can settle at a level too low to employ
everyone, and it can stay there, because wages and prices do not fall fast enough and because
everyone cutting back at once cuts everyone else's income. His prescription was for governments
to spend into the gap. The framework dominated policy for a generation, was badly wounded by the
1970s, and returned in modified form: New Keynesian models with explicit expectations are the
workhorse of most central banks today.
Monetarist: the argument from the money supply
Milton Friedman's answer was that Keynesians had lost sight of money. With Anna Schwartz he
documented, in a 1963 monetary history, that the Federal Reserve had let the money stock collapse
by roughly a third in the early 1930s and thereby turned a recession into the Great Depression.
His summary claim (that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon) became the
most quoted sentence in twentieth-century economics. His prediction that trying to buy lower
unemployment with higher inflation would only work until people caught on was vindicated in the
1970s. His policy proposal, a fixed rule for money growth, was not: the relationship between
money aggregates and spending broke down in the 1980s and central banks abandoned the target.
Austrian: the argument from knowledge
Hayek's 1945 essay asks a question that sounds simple and is not: how does an economy use
knowledge that no single mind possesses? The price of tin rises; thousands of people who have no
idea whether a mine flooded or a new use was discovered nonetheless economise on tin. Prices, on
this account, are a communication system, and a planner who abolishes them has destroyed the
instrument he needs to plan with. The Austrian account of business cycles (that credit expansion
pushes interest rates below their natural level and draws capital into projects that cannot be
completed) is more contested, and its method, which resists statistical testing on principle,
keeps much of the school outside the mainstream conversation.
Behavioural: the argument from the evidence
Kahneman and Tversky's 1979 paper showed experimentally that people evaluate outcomes as gains
and losses from a reference point rather than as final states of wealth, and that losses weigh
considerably more than equivalent gains. Two decades of work extended the list: we anchor on
irrelevant numbers, take the default option, treat identical money differently depending on which
mental pocket it is in, and heavily overweight the present. The policy payoff has been real:
automatically enrolling employees in retirement plans raises participation dramatically, because
the default does the work that exhortation never did. The honest caveat is that this is a
catalogue of findings rather than a unified theory, and several famous effects have shrunk under
replication. See the psychology of money.
Also on the map
Marxian
Marx, Capital (1867). Analyses capitalism through class and the extraction of surplus value; still influential in history and sociology, marginal in mainstream economic modelling.
Institutional / new institutional
Veblen; Ronald Coase on the firm and transaction costs (Nobel 1991); Douglass North on institutions (1993); Elinor Ostrom on governing commons without privatising them (2009).
Public choice
James Buchanan (Nobel 1986). Applies economic reasoning to politicians and officials, who respond to incentives like everyone else.
Development economics
Amartya Sen on capabilities (Nobel 1998); Banerjee, Duflo and Kremer on field experiments in poverty reduction (Nobel 2019).
Modern Monetary Theory
A recent heterodox current arguing that a currency-issuing government faces an inflation constraint rather than a financing one. Contested sharply across the profession.
What Scripture actually weighs in on
This is the part of the page most likely to be misused, so it is worth being exact. Scripture
speaks, repeatedly and with force, to the following: honest weights and measures; wages paid the
day they are earned; impartial courts and no bribes; provision for the poor, the immigrant, the
widow and the orphan built into ordinary economic practice; property held as a trust from God
rather than owned absolutely; generosity as a duty and not a hobby; diligence in work; the danger
of debt; the folly of trusting riches; and the specific, named sin of exploiting someone whose
need gives you leverage.
Those are moral commitments, and they constrain economic behaviour hard. What they do not do is
select a macroeconomic model.
What it does not settle
There is no biblical marginal tax rate. No chapter tells you whether a central bank should target
inflation or nominal income, whether tariffs help or hurt, what a minimum wage should be, whether
healthcare should be publicly financed, how large a state should be, or whether markets or plans
allocate capital better. Christians who agree entirely about Scripture disagree entirely about
these, and that is not a failure of anyone's faith.
Both of the popular shortcuts fail on the text. The reading that makes the Bible a manifesto for
unregulated markets has to ignore the gleaning laws, the Jubilee, the prophets' denunciations of
land accumulation, and the sheer volume of legislated redistribution in the Torah. The reading
that makes it a manifesto for common ownership has to explain Acts 5:4, where Peter tells
Ananias that the land was his own and the proceeds were in his own power. The sin was the lie,
not the property. The Jerusalem church's sharing was voluntary, local, and driven by love rather
than by statute.
32The multitude of those who believed were of one heart and soul. Not one of them claimed that anything of the things which he possessed was his own, but they had all things in common. 33With great power, the apostles gave their testimony of the resurrection of the Lord Jesus. Great grace was on them all. 34For neither was there among them any who lacked, for as many as were owners of lands or houses sold them, and brought the proceeds of the things that were sold, 35and laid them at the apostles’ feet, and distribution was made to each, according as anyone had need. 36Joses, who by the apostles was also called Barnabas (which is, being interpreted, Son of Encouragement), a Levite, a man of Cyprus by race, 37having a field, sold it, and brought the money and laid it at the apostles’ feet.
Descriptive, not prescriptive: Luke reports what the Jerusalem believers did, in a particular crisis, voluntarily. Read alongside Acts 5:4, where private ownership is explicitly assumed. What is commanded is the love that produced the selling, not the mechanism.
The honest posture is this. Take your economics from evidence and argument, hold it with the
confidence the evidence actually supports, and take your obligations from Scripture, which are
not up for revision by any model. A Keynesian and an Austrian in the same congregation are both
required to pay their workers on time.
Weighed by the Book
CommandedWhat Scripture commands
Just weights, just measures, just courts: no partiality to rich or poor (Leviticus 19:15; Deuteronomy 25:13-16).
Pay the labourer his wage the same day (Deuteronomy 24:14-15).
Provide for the poor, the sojourner, the fatherless and the widow out of what you produce (Leviticus 19:9-10; Deuteronomy 15:7-11).
Do not take a bribe, because it blinds the eyes of the wise (Exodus 23:8; see Deuteronomy 16:19).
WisdomWise application, not command
Learn more than one framework. Each school sees something the others are blind to, and the blind spots are where expensive mistakes live.
Be suspicious of any economic claim that arrives with a proof text attached; the text is usually doing decoration, not work.
FreedomWhere faithful people differ
Tax policy, trade policy, monetary regime, the size of the state, and the minimum wage are all matters on which faithful Christians disagree. No school of economics is the Christian one.
You may hold a strong political economy and still owe fellowship to someone who holds its opposite.